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(2020): A Restrictionist Revolution? : A Counter-Intuitive Reading of the ECtHR’s N.D. & N.T.-Judgment on ‘Hot Expulsions’ at the Spanish-Moroccan Border Verfassungsblog : On Matters Constitutional
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(2020): At Home and Abroad : The Use of Denial-of-service Attacks during Elections in Nondemocratic Regimes Journal of Conflict Resolution. Sage Publications. 2020, 64(2-3), pp. 373-401. ISSN 0022-0027. eISSN 1552-8766. Available under: doi: 10.1177/0022002719861676
In this article, we study the political use of denial-of-service (DoS) attacks, a particular form of cyberattack that disables web services by flooding them with high levels of data traffic. We argue that websites in nondemocratic regimes should be especially prone to this type of attack, particularly around political focal points such as elections. This is due to two mechanisms: governments employ DoS attacks to censor regime-threatening information, while at the same time, activists use DoS attacks as a tool to publicly undermine the government’s authority. We analyze these mechanisms by relying on measurements of DoS attacks based on large-scale Internet traffic data. Our results show that in authoritarian countries, elections indeed increase the number of DoS attacks. However, these attacks do not seem to be directed primarily against the country itself but rather against other states that serve as hosts for news websites from this country.
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(2020): Das dreifache Asylroulette : Föderale Ungleichheiten in der deutschen Asylpraxis FluchtforschungsBlog
Vor drei Jahren identifizierten wir beunruhigende föderale Ungleichheiten bei den Entscheidungen des BAMF über Asylanträge. Unsere weitergehenden Forschungen zeigen nun, dass sich die großen Abweichungen 2017 fortsetzten. Zudem entscheiden sowohl die Verwaltungsgerichte bei der Beurteilung der Rekurse als auch die Ausländerbehörden bei den Abschiebungen im Vergleich der Bundesländer höchst unterschiedlich. Eine detailliertere Asylstatistik wäre in unserer Sicht ein erster Schritt, um diese verstörenden Divergenzen einzudämmen.
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(2020): Let’s Ask About Sex : Methodological Merits of the Sealed Envelope Technique in Face-to-Face Interviews KRUMPAL, Ivar, ed., Roger BERGER, ed.. Devianz und Subkulturen : Theorien, Methoden und empirische Befunde. Wiesbaden: Springer VS, 2020, pp. 123-149. ISBN 978-3-658-27227-2. Available under: doi: 10.1007/978-3-658-27228-9_5
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dc.contributor.author: Preisendörfer, Peter
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(2020): Forty-Eight Shades of Germany : Positive and Negative Discrimination in Federal Asylum Decision Making German Politics. Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group. 2020, 29(4), pp. 564-581. ISSN 0964-4008. eISSN 1743-8993. Available under: doi: 10.1080/09644008.2019.1707810
Individual asylum seekers fail to obtain refugee status at considerably different rates cross- and sub-nationally. However, we do not know whether asylum seekers also face similar discriminatory potential when they appeal a negative decision and, if their appeal fails, when the authorities decide about their deportation. To fill this research gap, we examine inequities in these three stages of asylum decision making across the sixteen German Länder. We argue, based on principal-agent reasoning, that all three authorities empowered in this domain – the regional offices of the Federal Office for Migration and Refugees (BAMF), the administrative courts, and the immigration agencies of the states – consider their administrative, socio-economic, and political environments when making a decision. We demonstrate that positive and negative discrimination of asylum seekers does not stop with the initial decision by the Federal Office for Migration and Refugees, uncovering considerable spatial inequities in the aggregate rulings of the administrative courts on appeals by asylum seekers and the deportations for which the immigration offices of the Länder are responsible. The socio-economic characteristics of a Land and its political situation affect the choices the agents make at all three decision-making stages. Most notably, states with a government led by the Social Democratic Party, or with a long history of SPD dominance, have lower rates of negative decisions.
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The persistent challenge posed by the coronavirus crisis raises questions concerning the efficiency and fairness of the German healthcare system. Based on new representative survey data, this paper examines what Germans think of the system’s general strength and fairness. Whereas trust in the system’s ability to avoid the unequal treatment of different groups of the population is high, people are more skeptical when it comes to its strength and efficiency. Political preferences play a role here, with supporters of the right-wing populist Alternative for Germany (AfD) much more skeptical than those supporting the center-right Christian Democrats (CDU/CSU) and the Green Party. Trust in the healthcare system and political trust, especially in the truthfulness of the federal government’s information policy, are closely linked. Information policy, therefore, plays a crucial role when it comes to securing public trust in the healthcare system.
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One of the most important controversies in health economics concerns the question whether the imminent aging of the population in most OECD countries will place an additional burden on the tax payers who finance public health care systems. Proponents of the “red-herring hypothesis” argue that this is not the case because most of the correlation of age and health care expenditures (HCE) is due to the fact that the mortality rate rises with age and HCE rise steeply in the last years before death. The evidence regarding this hypothesis is, however, mixed. Our contribution to this debate is mainly methodological: We argue that the relationship of age, time to death (TTD) and HCE should be estimated non-parametrically. Using a large panel data set from the German Statutory Health Insurance, we first show that the parametric approach overestimates the expenditures of the high age classes and thus overstates the increase of future HCE due to aging. Secondly, we show that the non-parametric approach is particularly useful to answer the question whether age still has an impact on HCE once TTD is taken into account and find that it is clearly the case. This relationship is even more pronounced for long-term care expenditures (LTCE). We then show that the age-expenditure relationship is not stable over time: for many age classes, HCE in the last year of life grow considerably faster than HCE of survivors. We explore the impact of these findings on the simulation of future HCE and find that population aging will in fact contribute to rising HCE in the coming decades. We also find that the impact of different population projections provided by the statistical offices has a greater impact on these simulations than previously acknowledged. However, the total impact of demographics on future HCE and LTCE is dwarfed by the exogenous time trend, which is due to medical progress and increasing generosity of public LTC insurance.
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Research on the extent and causes of differentiated integration in the European Union has burgeoned in recent years. However, we still know little about citizens’ attitudes towards the phenomenon. In this article, we argue that both country- and individual-level factors should affect support for differentiated integration. Specifically, building on the difference between exemptive and discriminatory differentiation, we expect citizens of Southern member states to stronger oppose and those of Northern and Eastern member states to support the concept of a ‘multi-speed Europe’. On the individual level, we expect general attitudes towards politics and society to matter. Survey data largely corroborates our expectations: Support for differentiated integration is indeed much lower in Southern Europe. On the individual level, we find that supporters are highly educated and marked by liberal-conservative attitudes. In contrast to general EU support, we do not find robust correlations with socio-demographic variables.
Origin (projects)
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(2020): Berufswünsche geflüchteter Jugendlicher und junger Erwachsener BWP Berufsbildung in Wissenschaft und Praxis. Bundesinstitut für Berufsbildung. 2020, 49(1), pp. 45-47. ISSN 0341-4515
Das System der beruflichen Bildung leistet einen erheblichen Beitrag zur Integration von Jugendlichen und jungen Erwachsenen mit Fluchthintergrund. Die meisten Bundesländer haben für diese Zielgruppe spezifische Vorbereitungsklassen mit dem Fokus auf Spracherwerb und berufliche Orientierung eingerichtet. Ziel der Bildungsgänge ist der Verbleib der Lernenden im Bildungssystem, im Idealfall der Beginn einer Ausbildung. Inwiefern sich dies mit den beruflichen Wünschen junger Geflüchteter deckt, untersucht dieser Beitrag am Beispiel des Regierungsbezirks Freiburg.
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Leaks are pervasive in politics. Hence, many committees that nominally operate under secrecy de facto operate under the threat that information might be passed on to outsiders. We study theoretically and experimentally how this possibility affects the behavior of committee members and the decision-making accuracy. Our theoretical analysis generates two major predictions. First, a committee operating under the threat of leaks is equivalent to a formally transparent committee in terms of the probabilities of project implementation as well as welfare (despite differences in individual voting behavior). Second, the threat of leaks causes a committee to recommend rejection of a project whenever precise information has been shared among committee members. As a consequence, a status-quo bias arises. Our laboratory results confirm these predictions despite subjects communicating less strategically than predicted.
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(2020): Ein großer Unterschied mit kleinen Folgen? : Einwanderungsskeptische Einstellungen von Frauen und Männern im Zeitverlauf MAYS, Anja, ed. and others. Grundlagen – Methoden – Anwendungen in den Sozialwissenschaften : Festschrift für Steffen-M. Kühnel. Wiesbaden: Springer VS, 2020, pp. 579-604. ISBN 978-3-658-15628-2. Available under: doi: 10.1007/978-3-658-15629-9_31
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(2020): Geflüchtete, Familien und ihre Kinder : Warum der Blick auf die Familien und die Kindertagesbetreuung entscheidend ist Sozialer Fortschritt. Duncker & Humblot. 2020, 69(8/9), S. 561-577. ISSN 0038-609X. eISSN 1865-5386. Verfügbar unter: doi: 10.3790/sfo.69.8-9.561
Seit 2015 viele Menschen mit Fluchthintergrund nach Deutschland gezogen sind, stand häufig deren Arbeitsmarktintegration im Zentrum des gesellschaftlichen, politischen und wissenschaftlichen Interesses. Lebenslagen und Lebensformen der gefluchteten Familien wurden hingegen viel weniger thematisiert. Dieser Beitrag präsentiert familiendemografische Daten für Gefluchtete der Herkunftsländer Syrien, Afghanistan, Irak und Eritrea und verdeutlicht den großen Anteil von Familien mit kleinen Kindern unter den nach Deutschland Gefluchteten. Daten zur Nutzung von Kinderbetreuungseinrichtungen von Kindern gefluchteter Familien zeigen, dass institutionelle Kinderbetreuung wesentlich zur Integration und Bildung beitragen kann. Der Wissenschaftliche Beirat für Familienfragen des BMFSFJ versucht, diesen für die Integration zentralen Aspekt in den Diskurs zu Flüchtlingen einzubringen und evidenzbasierte Handlungsempfehlungen zu geben.
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(2020): Information Provision and Preferences for Education Spending : Evidence from Representative Survey Experiments in three Countries European Journal of Political Economy. Elsevier. 2020, 63, 101876. ISSN 0176-2680. eISSN 1873-5703. Available under: doi: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2020.101876
Do citizens' preferences about education policies differ across industrialized countries? To gain comparative evidence on public preferences for education spending, we conduct representative experiments with information treatments in Switzerland using identical survey techniques previously used in Germany and the United States. In Switzerland, providing information about actual spending and salary levels reduces support for increased education spending from 54 to 40 percent and for increased teacher salaries from 27 to 19 percent, respectively. The broad patterns of education policy preferences are similar across the three countries when the role of status-quo and information are taken into account.
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(2020): Within-couple distribution of economic resources : a critical review of extant studies and avenues for future research Rassegna Italiana di Sociologia. Ed. Il Mulino. ISSN 0486-0349. Available under: doi: 10.1423/97642
The distribution of economic resources in couples has been widely researched in both economics and sociology since the 1960s. This article reviews the two lines of research starting from unitary models of behavior and encompassing bargaining theory, the relative resource approach, collective goods and transaction cost theory. Furthermore, we contribute to the literature by suggesting ways of enhancing classic theories through new perspectives. Specifically, we discuss how (a) preferences, (b) macro-level characteristics such as institutional and economic conditions, and (c) meso-level factors like networks and extended families, can deepen our understanding of how economic resources are allocated within couples. Finally, we argue that to overcome the idealized vision of social reality, typical of mainstream research on intra-household financial sharing, it is crucial to incorporate the variation of experiences of contemporary families − in terms of socio-demographic characteristics such as class, race, sexual orientation, partnership type or children − into future studies on intra-household distribution of economic resources.
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Bericht der Ergebnisse der 9. Welle des EES (European Social Survey) zu dem Themenkomplex Gerechtigkeit und Fairness in Europa. Neben Thomas Hinz waren zahlreiche internationale Wissenschaftlerinnen und Wissenschaftler an der Publikation beteiligt: Jule Adriaans, Sandra Bohmann, Matteo Targa und Stefan Liebig, Sozio-oekonomisches Panel (SOEP), Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW Berlin); Guillermina Jasso, New York University; Bernhard Kittel, Universität Wien; Clara Sabbagh, University of Haifa.
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(2020): Enabling News Consumers to View and Understand Biased News Coverage : A Study on the Perception and Visualization of Media Bias JCDL '20 : Proceedings of the ACM/IEEE Joint Conference on Digital Libraries in 2020. New York, NY: ACM, 2020, pp. 389-392. ISBN 978-1-4503-7585-6. Available under: doi: 10.1145/3383583.3398619
Traditional media outlets are known to report political news in a biased way, potentially affecting the political beliefs of the audience and even altering their voting behaviors. Many researchers focus on automatically detecting and identifying media bias in the news, but only very few studies exist that systematically analyze how theses biases can be best visualized and communicated. We create three manually annotated datasets and test varying visualization strategies. The results show no strong effects of becoming aware of the bias of the treatment groups compared to the control group, although a visualization of hand-annotated bias communicated bias in-stances more effectively than a framing visualization. Showing participants an overview page, which opposes different viewpoints on the same topic, does not yield differences in respondents' bias perception. Using a multilevel model, we find that perceived journalist bias is significantly related to perceived political extremeness and impartiality of the article.
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dc.contributor.author: Asaduzzaman, T. M.; Evans, David K.; Ramachandran, Deepika; Sabarwal, Shwetlena
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(2020): Bildungspolitik : zwischen Wettbewerb und sozialem Zusammenhalt LAMMERT, Christan, ed., Markus SIEWERT, ed., Boris VORMANN, ed.. Handbuch Politik USA. Wiesbaden: Springer VS, 2020, pp. 447-464. ISBN 978-3-658-23844-5. Available under: doi: 10.1007/978-3-658-23845-2_24
Seit Jahrzehnten wird das Bildungssystem der USA von zwei Herausforderungen gekennzeichnet, einerseits als zentraler Wirtschafts- und Wohlstandsfaktor zu fungieren und andererseits Chancengleichheit, soziale Integration und gleichen Bildungszugang zu gewährleisten. Die US-Bildungspolitik der letzten Jahrzehnte ist nicht zuletzt deshalb von starkem politischem Aktionismus geprägt, der jedoch – wie von diversen Leistungsvergleichen belegt – nur selten seine Ziele erreichte. Dieser Beitrag gibt einen Überblick über die Strukturen und Steuerungsformen des US-amerikanischen Bildungssystems, seinen hohen Dezentralisierungsgrad und marktorientierten Charakter, sowie die historische Entwicklung von sozialer Segregation zu Integration. Vor dem Hintergrund politischer Steuerung und Finanzierung des heutigen Bildungssystems sowie der Rolle verschiedener politischer Akteure werden die jüngsten bildungspolitischen Reformen zur Steigerung von Qualität und Rechenschaft und zur Kostenreduktion des Hochschulstudiums skizziert. Im Kontext von Internationalisierungsprozessen und innenpolitischer Polarisierung werden die veränderten Rahmenbedingungen für die Gestaltung von Bildungspolitik aufgezeigt.
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(2020): Crises and Responsiveness : Analysing German Preference Formation during the Eurozone Crisis Political Studies Review. Sage. 2020, 18(4), pp. 491-506. ISSN 1478-9299. eISSN 1478-9302. Available under: doi: 10.1177/1478929919864902
Do crises increase governmental responsiveness to citizens’ policy demands in the European Union? Building on the responsiveness literature, we challenge the claim that well-organized business interests determine governmental preferences in times of crisis. We argue instead, that vote-seeking governments rather account for citizens’ policy demands, given particularly high levels of saliency and public attention prevalent during crises. To test our theory, we analyse the formation of German governmental preferences on Economic and Monetary Union reforms during the Eurozone Crisis. We use novel data from the ‘EMUChoices’ project, public opinion polls as well as newspaper articles and trace the development of the German government’s positioning on reforms such as the new Eurozone bailout fund or the tightening of fiscal governance rules. Our analyses show that the German government, despite intensive lobbying efforts by banks and industry associations, responded rather closely to the demands of the public. On a normative ground, this finding highlights that input legitimacy in European Union decision-making is stronger than oftentimes assumed, at least at the level of governmental preference formation in times of crises.
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(2020): Can we directly survey adherence to non-pharmaceutical interventions? : Evidence from a list experiment conducted in Germany during the early Corona pandemic Survey Research Methods. European Survey Research Association (ESRA). 2020, 14(2), pp. 205-209. eISSN 1864-3361. Available under: doi: 10.18148/srm/2020.v14i2.7759
Self-reports of adherence to non-pharmaceutical interventions in surveys may be subject to social desirability bias. Existing questioning techniques to reduce bias are rarely used to monitor adherence. We conducted a list experiment to elicit truthful answers to the question whether respondents met friends or acquaintances and thus disregarded the social distancing norm. Our empirical findings are mixed. Using the list experiment, we estimate the prevalence of non-compliant behavior at 28%, whereas the estimate from a direct question is 22%. However, a more permissively phrased direct question included later in the survey yields an estimate of 47%. All three estimates vary consistently across social groups. Interestingly, only the list experiment reveals somewhat higher non-compliance rates among the highly educated compared to those with lower education, yet the variance of the list estimates is considerably higher. We conclude that the list experiment compared unfavorably to simpler direct measurements in our case.
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