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(2020): Casino Capitalism? : The Impact of Financial Crises on Inequality, 1970 to 2016
Project : From Bad to Worse: Financial Crises, Polarization, and Inequality
The ways in which countries have reacted to financial crises varies considerably. While income inequality has grown in more than half of the EU member states after the Great Recession, some countries such as the United States have experienced a significant increase in wealth inequality. A number of countries, by contrast, was able to keep these inequities at bay. We argue in this paper that the impact of financial crises on inequality differ between the type and severity of these economic shocks and that sovereign debt and exchange rate rather than banking crises increase the economic inequities. The paper also examines the extent to which fiscal constraints of governments and membership in the Eurozone mediate these effects. We examine the diverse income and wealth inequality effects to more than 50 financial crises across the OECD member states from 1970 to 2010. The empirical evidence gathered so far supports our conjecture of different distributive effects of varying types of crises.
Origin (projects)
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(2020): Safer Spaces : The impact of a reduction in road fatalities on the life expectancy of South Africans
In this paper we determine the cost of fatalities resulting from road traffic injuries (RTIs) in South Africa. We express the costs in terms of reduced life expectancy and years of potential life lost (YPLL). Our main data source is the Injury Mortality Survey, a retrospective descriptive study carried out in 2009 in South Africa. Using the mortality rates by sex and age from the mortuary data we calculate actual life expectancy at birth. In our counterfactual analysis we assume a reduction of 15% reduction per year in road fatalities for a period of 10 years. A comparison of the estimated actual and counterfactual life expectancies suggests that the average gain in life expectancy at birth would be 0.58 years. Since the overwhelming majority of road traffic fatalities are male (75.7%), there is a considerable gender difference. Men would gain 0.85 years while women would gain 0.30 years in life expectancy, closing the gender gap in life expectancy by about 14%. We then discuss how a reduction in RTIs could be achieved. South Africa’s legislation already covers all important aspects of road safety (e.g. seat belt use, drink driving restrictions, speed limits, infrastructure improvements), however, enforcement is relatively weak and should be improved. There are a raft of measures that have been well researched in other countries, most interventions aim to modify the behaviour of road users and have been found to be cost effective. In addition to stricter enforcement, evidence from social science suggests that compliance could be increased through a change in social norms regarding road usage.
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(2020): No Representation without Integration! : Why Differentiated Integration Challenges the Composition of the European Parliament Journal of Common Market Studies (JCMS). Wiley. 2020, 58(4), pp. 1016-1033. ISSN 0021-9886. eISSN 1468-5965. Available under: doi: 10.1111/jcms.13015
This article provides a normative assessment of parliamentary representation in fields of differentiated integration in the European Union. Based on three criteria of legitimate democratic representation, autonomy, accountability and equality, we evaluate four alternative representation models. These models comprise (I) complete representation of all members of the European Parliament (MEPs), (II) insider representation through the creation of new, regime‐specific assemblies, and (III) partial representation without and (IV) with inclusive deliberative stages. We find that the current system of complete representation, while honouring the principle of equality, violates autonomy and accountability in areas of differentiated integration. We therefore advocate a model of partial representation: MEPs elected in opt‐out states should not take part in EP voting but should be invited to participate in the deliberative stages of parliamentary decision‐making. This reconciles the principles of autonomy, accountability and equality, at least as long as there is no truly European electoral system in place.
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The coronavirus crisis exacerbates inequality in the European Union. It gives rise to a critical debate about the future of Europe concerning a key question: In what way does the project of integration require a higher degree of European solidarity? To what extent are Europeans willing to help each other, and what kind of help are they willing to provide? The results from a recent survey of the German residential population, presented in this paper, offer a mixed picture: Whereas people strongly support medical solidarity, their willingness to support fi nancial redistribution is limited. As a consequence, it will be crucial to use ideational leadership to activate the potential for solidarity towards a united, viable Europe marked by limited inequality—especially with the German Council Presidency commencing on July 1st, 2020.
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The HybOrg research project focuses on the administrative management of the so-called refugee crisis in Germany between 2015 and 2016. It asks about the societal effect of variation in local crisis management (Landkreise and kreisfreie Städte). This document is a technical report of German-wide survey among the local administration to assess the reactions to the increase in the number of asylum seekers in 2015/16.
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(2020): From Hand-Counting to GIS : Richardson in the Information Age GLEDITSCH, Nils Petter, ed.. Lewis Fry Richardson : His Intellectual Legacy and Influence in the Social Sciences. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 2020, pp. 73-85. Pioneers in Arts, Humanities, Science, Engineering, Practice. 27. ISBN 978-3-030-31588-7. Available under: doi: 10.1007/978-3-030-31589-4_7
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(2020): Einstellungen und Verhalten gegenüber geflüchteten Menschen : Ist die räumliche Distanz von Bedeutung? MAYS, Anja, ed., André DINGELSTEDT, ed., Verena HAMBAUER, ed. and others. Grundlagen – Methoden – Anwendungen in den Sozialwissenschaften : Festschrift für Steffen-M. Kühnel. Wiesbaden: Springer VS, 2020, pp. 561-578. ISBN 978-3-658-15628-2. Available under: doi: 10.1007/978-3-658-15629-9_30
Die klassische Kontakthypothese aus der Forschung zu Fremdenfeindlichkeit postuliert einen negativen Zusammenhang: Je mehr und intensivere Kontakte zu einer ethnischen Minorität bestehen, desto eher werden Vorurteile reduziert und desto geringer sind fremdenfeindliche Einstellungen. Empirisch konnte dieser Effekt vielfach bestätigt werden. In unserem Beitrag untersuchen wir eine Erweiterung dieser „sozialen“ Kontakthypothese hin zu einer „räumlichen“ bzw. „geografischen“ Kontakthypothese. Konkret geht es um die Frage, ob Einstellungen gegenüber geflüchteten Menschen davon abhängen, inwieweit Befragte durch ihren Wohnstandort Kontakt bzw. eine räumliche Nähe zu Flüchtlingsunterkünften haben. Die geografische Kontakthypothese vermutet, dass sich Personen umso weniger ablehnend gegenüber Flüchtlingen äußern, je näher sie an einer Flüchtlingsunterkunft wohnen. Wir präsentieren Ergebnisse einer postalischen Befragung (N = 580) in Mainz, in welcher der Wohnort der Befragten sowie die Lage der Flüchtlingsunterkünfte im Stadtgebiet georeferenziert wurden. Die abhängigen Variablen bilden Einstellungen und selbstberichtete Protesthandlungen gegenüber geflüchteten Menschen. Im Ergebnis zeigt sich in der Tat ein Effekt für die Einstellungsindikatoren: Je größer die geografische Distanz der Befragten zu Flüchtlingsunterkünften, desto ablehnender äußern sie sich bezüglich geflüchteter Menschen. Zwischen räumlicher Distanz und Protesthandlungen finden wir keinen signifikanten Zusammenhang. Weiterhin zeigt sich der Tendenz nach, dass ein Teil, aber nicht der gesamte Distanzeffekt über soziale Kontakte mit Flüchtlingen zustande kommt.
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(2020): Explaining the immigrant integration laws of German, Italian and Spanish regions : sub-state nationalism and multilevel party politics Regional Studies. Taylor & Francis. 2020, 54(11), S. 1486-1497. ISSN 0034-3404. eISSN 1360-0591. Verfügbar unter: doi: 10.1080/00343404.2019.1599845
How do sub-state regions respond to immigration and what drives their policy choices? Combining the cross-national literature on citizenship and integration policy with the literature on immigration federalism, it is hypothesized that sub-state nationalism and multilevel party politics explain why some regions formulate more restrictive immigrant integration policies than others. Analyzing integration laws of German, Italian and Spanish regions demonstrates that socioeconomically inclusive measures dominate, regardless of national context. Where restrictive provisions occur at all, they are associated with minority nationalism and the strength of anti-immigrant parties, while leftist regions facing right-wing national governments tend to adopt a more inclusive policies.
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(2019): Is economics a man's business? : Exploring the long-term effects of the gender gap in economic competencies at the upper secondary level on students' choice to study economics at university Citizenship, Social and Economics Education. 2019, 18(3), pp. 177-197. ISSN 1357-4019. eISSN 2047-1734. Available under: doi: 10.1177/2047173419885628
In higher education, across countries, a large share of students choose to study economics. Although there is only a small difference in the share of female and male students in that field, there is robust empirical evidence of a gender gap in economic competencies, showing that male students in most cases outperform female students. There is a broad discussion about the differences in gender-specific socializations that cause this gender gap. However, no research exists on the long-term effects of this gender gap. This study uses longitudinal and representative data of N = 1397 Swiss students (824 female students) to analyse the gender-specific effects of economic competencies at the end of the upper secondary level on their aspiration and decision to study economics. The results show that economic knowledge and interest in economics have a substantially stronger effect on the choice of economics for female students. The aspiration to study strongly mediates these effects. We argue that these results can mainly be traced back to different interests and self-perceptions of skills and abilities in economics caused by gender-specific socialization. Possible implications of gender socialization and discrimination in economics for secondary and higher education and for the labour market are discussed.
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(2019): Automated identification of media bias in news articles : an interdisciplinary literature review International Journal on Digital Libraries. 2019, 20(4), pp. 391-415. ISSN 1432-5012. eISSN 1432-1300. Available under: doi: 10.1007/s00799-018-0261-y
Media bias, i.e., slanted news coverage, can strongly impact the public perception of the reported topics. In the social sciences, research over the past decades has developed comprehensive models to describe media bias and effective, yet often manual and thus cumbersome, methods for analysis. In contrast, in computer science fast, automated, and scalable methods are available, but few approaches systematically analyze media bias. The models used to analyze media bias in computer science tend to be simpler compared to models established in the social sciences, and do not necessarily address the most pressing substantial questions, despite technically superior approaches. Computer science research on media bias thus stands to profit from a closer integration of models for the study of media bias developed in the social sciences with automated methods from computer science. This article first establishes a shared conceptual understanding by mapping the state of the art from the social sciences to a framework, which can be targeted by approaches from computer science. Next, we investigate different forms of media bias and review how each form is analyzed in the social sciences. For each form, we then discuss methods from computer science suitable to (semi-)automate the corresponding analysis. Our review suggests that suitable, automated methods from computer science, primarily in the realm of natural language processing, are already available for each of the discussed forms of media bias, opening multiple directions for promising further research in computer science in this area.
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(2019): Oil discoveries and education provision in the Postbellum South Economics of Education Review. 2019, 73, 101925. ISSN 0272-7757. eISSN 1873-7382. Verfügbar unter: doi: 10.1016/j.econedurev.2019.101925
This paper studies the effect of oil wealth on the provision of education in the early 20th century United States. Using information on the location and discovery of major oil fields, I find that oil wealth increased local revenue and education spending. However, population increased, and as consequence, schooling quality did not improve across the board. Nominal teacher wages increased, and oil-rich counties were more likely to participate in the Rosenwald school building program for blacks. However, neither student-teacher ratios nor school attendance rates improved in the wake of oil discoveries.
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(2019): Zwei Dekaden Forschung zu kulturellen Überzeugungen und Einstellungen : Bis hier und wie weiter? Eingeladener Impulsvortrag: Augsburger QLB-Projekts LeHeT (Förderung der Lehrerprofessionalität im Umgang mit Heterogenität)
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(2019): Differences in use without deficiencies in competence : passives in the Turkish and German of Turkish heritage speakers in Germany International Journal of Bilingual Education and Bilingualism. 2019, 22(8), pp. 919-939. ISSN 1367-0050. eISSN 1747-7522. Available under: doi: 10.1080/13670050.2017.1324403
Determining how and why adult outcomes of heritage speaker (HS) bilingualism differ from monolinguals is difficult because it requires the reconstruction of developmental paths from end-state data. In an effort to address this issue, we examine HSs of Turkish in Germany at an early age of development (10–15 years old, n = 22), as well as age-matched monolingual controls in Turkey (n = 20) and Germany (n = 20), using a structured elicitation task for production of passives. The goal is to see whether HSs have the representation of passives in their mental grammars and to better understand the relative weight of factors (age at time of testing, immigration status of the Turkish parents (first or second generation), and literacy in the L1) that potentially contribute to the formation of HSs’ grammatical competence. The results show that all HSs have the underlying representation for passives in both Turkish and German. There was a significant effect of only literacy; high level of L1 literacy has a positive effect on monolingual-like production as compared to those with no literacy. We discuss these results pertaining to explicating ultimate attainment outcomes in heritage language acquisition in relation to larger debates in the field.
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(2019): Studying micro dynamics in civil wars : introduction Zeitschrift für Friedens- und Konfliktforschung. 2019, 8(2), pp. 151-159. ISSN 2192-1741. eISSN 2524-6976. Available under: doi: 10.1007/s42597-019-00018-9
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(2019): Why differentiated integration is such a common practice in Europe : A rational explanation Journal of Theoretical Politics. 2019, 31(4), pp. 642-659. ISSN 0951-6298. eISSN 1460-3667. Available under: doi: 10.1177/0951629819875522
With Brexit imminent, the debate on the need for differentiated integration (DI) by means of opting-out has gained new momentum. At the same time, non-member states decide to adopt European Union (EU) rules as exemplified by the European Neighbourhood Policy. In light of these opposing observations, we examine the EU’s disposition to supply DI. We outline the strategic interactions of the EU member states or non-members in the context of two forms of DI: opting-out and inducing-in. In the case of opting-out, EU member states can refrain from adopting EU rules; inducing-in refers to providing non-member states with incentives to adopt EU rules. We show that the information asymmetries inherent to the strategic interactions result in a situation in which the EU is likely to supply opportunities to opt-out for member states to a much greater extent than necessary. Furthermore, the EU is likely to offer more compensation to non-member states in exchange for adopting EU rules than it would actually need to.
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(2019): A gendered resource curse? : Mineral ownership, female unemployment and domestic violence in Sub-Saharan Africa Zeitschrift für Friedens- und Konfliktforschung. 2019, 8(2), pp. 213-237. ISSN 2192-1741. eISSN 2524-6976. Available under: doi: 10.1007/s42597-019-00019-8
Several studies suggest that the extractive industry has negative consequences for gender equality despite the often positive growth impact of natural resources. We re-examine this claim at the sub-state level in sub-Saharan Africa and argue that we need to differentiate between ownership arrangements in the extractive industry. To test our argument on the gender dimension of the resource curse, this article employs unique data on the control rights of minerals within sub-Saharan countries as well as data from Afrobarometer and Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS). Our quantitative analyses explore how international vs. domestic ownership of copper, diamond and gold mines affects the labor market integration of females and intimate partner violence. The regression results suggest in line with our theoretical expectations that gender-specific structural labor market shifts within extractive industries are contingent on mineral control rights. Our models show that within mining areas, only domestic ownership reduces male unemployment. While domestic mining seems to reinforce the traditional male breadwinner model, internationally owned mineral extraction induces structural labor market changes: women abandon subsistence farming activities and migrate to the service sector. Our results further indicate that this shift of traditional gender roles within rural mining areas is associated with less intimate partner violence.
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(2019): Getting Objective About Subjective Age : Introduction to a Special Issue Work, Aging and Retirement. 2019, 5(4), pp. 265-272. ISSN 2054-4642. eISSN 2054-4650. Available under: doi: 10.1093/workar/waz019
Researchers have become increasingly interested in age-related constructs other than chronological age, which has been found to explain only small amounts of variance in many important work outcomes. In this editorial that accompanies our special issue of Work, Aging and Retirement on “the multitude of age constructs,” we seek to attain three related goals: First, we provide an overview of our editorial process. Second, we offer brief summaries of the five papers that are included in this special issue. Third, and perhaps representing our most substantive contribution here, we present answers to six “big picture” questions about subjective age to inform future scholarly work. We conclude that, although many important questions about alternative age constructs remain to be answered, the papers in this special issue represent excellent examples of novel work in this arena and suggest several opportunities for how future research could more rigorously and critically apply these constructs to the study of work, aging and retirement.
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(2019): Reform efforts, synchronization failure, and international bureaucracy : the case of the UNESCO budget crisis Journal of European Public Policy. 2019, 26(11), pp. 1639-1656. ISSN 1350-1763. eISSN 1466-4429. Available under: doi: 10.1080/13501763.2018.1539116
International organizations (IOs) and their bureaucracies frequently face calls for reform. To express discontent and exert reform pressure, member states can withhold their budgetary contributions to IOs. In extreme cases, these cuts result in organizational crises during which reform efforts become unavoidable, as happened in UNESCO after 2011. Traditional IR research sees member states as being in the driver’s seat when it comes to achieving – or failing to achieve – reform under such conditions, whereas scholars of international public administration underline bureaucratic action or pathology as driving, or preventing, reform. By tracing UNESCO’s reform dynamics from 2011 to 2013, this paper demonstrates how a budget crisis can trigger major reform efforts by IO bureaucracies and by IO member states, but how the lack of joint and synchronized action by both actors still results in failed or limited reform. This contributes to key debates on international public administration, IO reform, and the role of budgetary crisis. The article suggests a dynamic and actor-centred theory of IO reform that highlights the need for synchronized crisis cognition and for substantively and temporally coordinated efforts of both states and bureaucracies as key elements for reform success – and their absence as explanation for failed reform.
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(2019): Ethnic Riots and Prosocial Behavior : Evidence from Kyrgyzstan American Political Science Review. Cambridge University Press. 2019, 113(4), pp. 1029-1044. ISSN 0003-0554. eISSN 1537-5943. Available under: doi: 10.1017/S000305541900042X
Do ethnic riots affect prosocial behavior? A common view among scholars of ethnic violence is that riots increase cooperation within the warring groups, while cooperation across groups is reduced. We revisit this hypothesis by studying the aftermath of the 2010 Osh riot in Kyrgyzstan, which saw Kyrgyz from outside the city kill over 400 Uzbeks. We implement a representative survey, which includes unobtrusive experimental measures of prosocial behavior. Our causal identification strategy exploits variation in the distance of neighborhoods to armored military vehicles, which were instrumental in orchestrating the riot. We find that victimized neighborhoods show substantially lower levels of prosocial behavior. Importantly, we demonstrate that the reduction is similarly stark both within and across groups. Using qualitative interviews, we parse out two mechanisms that help explain the surprising reduction in ingroup prosociality: Victimized Uzbeks felt abandoned by their coethnics, and variation in victimization created a feeling of suspicion.
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(2019): More than opinion expression : Secondary effects of intraparty referendums on party members Party Politics. 2019, 25(6), pp. 817-827. ISSN 1354-0688. eISSN 1460-3683. Available under: doi: 10.1177/1354068817745729
As political parties expand opportunities for intraparty participation, understanding the effects of participatory events on party actors becomes ever more important. In this study, we investigate the consequences of an intraparty referendum in a state branch of Germany’s Christian Democratic Union on beliefs and attitudes of party members. We use longitudinal survey data bracketing a nonbinding issue referendum on the party’s stance on same-sex marriage. Our analysis shows that the referendum had secondary effects that went beyond the referendum’s primary goal of delivering an informal opinion poll to the party leadership. The experience of having a say in an important policy decision fostered members’ sense of party-specific efficacy. Furthermore, the referendum provided party members with information on elite positions and stimulated leadership evaluation based on issue congruency. Altogether, involvement in intraparty decision-making promotes beliefs and behaviors among the rank and file that are relevant to uphold a vivid and empowering party life.
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