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  • Gloomy prospects : The Konstanz Inequality Barometer shows that inequality is perceived to have increased

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    Data from the new wave of the Konstanz Inequality Barometer shows that people in Germany perceive a widespread increase of inequality in income and wealth and barely distinguish between income and wealth inequality. This is despite the fact that wealth inequality is significantly larger than income inequality. At the same time, the actual level of inequality is still underestimated in some respects. Concerning the prospects of the younger generation, many people, especially supporters of the right-wing populist AfD, are rather negative. Less pessimism is found among supporters of the center-right parties, CDU/CSU and FDP.

  • Busemeyer, Marius R.; Tober, Tobias (2023): Dealing with Technological Change : Social Policy Preferences and Institutional Context Comparative Political Studies. Sage Publications. 2023, 56(7), pp. 968-999. ISSN 0010-4140. eISSN 1552-3829. Available under: doi: 10.1177/00104140221139381

    Dealing with Technological Change : Social Policy Preferences and Institutional Context

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    How does technological change affect social policy preferences across different institutional contexts? In this paper, we argue that individuals who perceive high levels of technology-related employment risks prefer passive policies like unemployment benefits over active measures like retraining in order to satisfy the need for immediate compensation in the case of job loss. At the same time, general support for passive (active) policy solutions to technological change should be significantly lower (higher) in countries where generous compensation schemes already exist. As the perception of technology-related employment risks increases, however, we expect that social policy preferences among high-risk individuals should converge across different welfare state contexts. We use novel data from a diverse set of 24 OECD countries that specifically measure preferred social policy solutions to technological change in a constrained choice scenario. Applying statistical methods that explicitly model the trade-off faced by individuals, we find evidence in line with our theoretical expectations.

  • Die heilige Kuh des deutschen Steuerrechts : Wie sich das verzerrte Bild von der Entfernungspauschale korrigieren ließe

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    Die Entfernungspauschale ist beliebt als Instrument zur Senkung


    der eigenen Steuerlast. Dabei ist sie doppelt problematisch: Sie


    verstärkt die Verteilungsungleichheit und wirkt sich negativ auf


    Umwelt und Klima aus. In diesem Policy Paper zeigen wir, dass


    diese Zusammenhänge häufig nicht richtig wahrgenommen


    werden. Erhalten Bürger*innen jedoch objektive Informationen


    über die Verteilungs- und Umweltwirkungen, so erhöht dies ihre


    Zustimmung zu Vorschlägen für eine Reform der Pauschale. Eine


    solche Wahrnehmungskorrektur könnte ein Hebel sein, um die


    Unterstützung für eine Reform zu erhöhen und die Entfernungspauschale


    sozial wie ökologisch nachhaltiger zu gestalten.

  • The Politics of Redistribution and Sovereign Default

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    This paper studies how distributional and electoral concerns shape sovereign default incentives within a quantitative model of sovereign debt with heterogeneous agents and non-linear income taxation. The small open economy is characterized by a two-party system in which the left-wing party has a larger preference for redistribution than the right-wing party. Political turnover is the endogenous outcome of the electoral process. Fiscal policy faces a tradeoff: On the one hand, the government has incentives to finance redistribution via external debt to avoid distortionary income taxation. On the other hand, the accumulation of external debt raises the cost of borrowing. Quantitative findings suggest that the left-wing party implements a more progressive income tax, is more prone to default, and has a lower electoral support than the right-wing party due to worse borrowing conditions and the distortionary effects of income taxation. In equilibrium, electoral uncertainty raises sovereign default risk.

  • Klingert, Sonja; Niederkofler, Michael; de Meer, Hermann; Bielig, Mona; Gagin, Stepan; Kacperski, Celina; Strobbe, Matthias (2023): The Best of both Worlds : Social and Technical Challenges of Creating Energy Islands KLEIN, Cornel, ed., Matthias JARKE, ed.. Proceedings of the 12th International Conference on Smart Cities and Green ICT Systems. Setúbal, Portugal: SCITEPRESS - Science and Technology Publications, 2023, pp. 129-136. ISSN 2184-4968. ISBN 978-989-758-651-4. Available under: doi: 10.5220/0011974600003491

    The Best of both Worlds : Social and Technical Challenges of Creating Energy Islands

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    Creating so-called “energy islands” with a high level of energetic self-sufficiency is one strategy to fight climate crisis. To become a realistic goal, such a concept needs trans-disciplinary research that defines promising transformation paths towards reaching this vision. The presented paper introduces a conceptual framework that provides approaches for technical optimization across all energy vectors, socio-technical optimization of the usage of energy demand flexibility, socio-psychological interventions, and a replication strategy that considers all these different aspects. The focus lies on the architecture of a management system that answers requirements also from social sciences, on engagement strategies and on defining a cross-vector, cross-disciplinary design for flexibility in terms of demand-response schemes.

  • Reinwald, Max; Zaia, Johannes; Kunze, Florian (2023): Shine Bright Like a Diamond : When Signaling Creates Glass Cliffs for Female Executives Journal of Management. Sage Publications. 2023, 49(3), pp. 1005-1036. ISSN 0149-2063. eISSN 1557-1211. Available under: doi: 10.1177/01492063211067518

    Shine Bright Like a Diamond : When Signaling Creates Glass Cliffs for Female Executives

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    There is mixed support for the glass cliff hypothesis that firms will more likely appoint female candidates into top management positions when in crisis. We trace the inconsistent findings back to an underdeveloped theoretical link and deficient identification strategies. Using signaling theory, we suggest that crisis firms appoint female top managers to signal change to the market and argue that the effect is context-dependent. In a field study of 26,156 executive appointments in U.S. firms between 2000 and 2016, we exploit a regression discontinuity to test for the causal impact of firm crisis status on the likelihood of female top management appointments and for moderators of the effect. We find that crisis status leads to a significant increase in female top management appointments and that crisis (vs. noncrisis) firms are more likely to frame female appointments as change-related in press releases. Importantly, the presence of the glass cliff effect hinges on attributes of the signaler (absence of another female executive), signal (appointment type), and receiver (investor attention). The findings robustly evidence the glass cliff and our theoretical extensions.

  • The Political Economy of Domestic and External Sovereign Debt

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    This paper explores the political and distributional consequences of sovereign debt and default taking into account that a sizable share of public debt is held by domestic creditors. We develop a quantitative macroeconomic model in which heterogeneous households face idiosyncratic income risk and save in non-state-contingent government bonds. Debt contracts are not enforceable and the government is politically constrained in its policy choices: A fiscal plan is required to receive the support of the majority of households. If neither fiscal plan is approved, the government has to default and to restructure domestic and external debt. Debt crises are characterized by a political conflict. In the course of a crisis, rising debt service costs force the government to cut redistributive spending. While wealthy households benefit from high interest rates on their savings, poor households support a default. Consequently, the approval of the fiscal plan decreases and the likelihood of a political default rises. Political constraints generate sizable welfare costs highlighting that individuals do not internalize the impact of their voting on interest rates and redistributive spending in equilibrium.

  •   31.01.25  
    Busemeyer, Marius R.; Gandenberger, Mia; Knotz, Carlo; Tober, Tobias (2023): Preferred policy responses to technological change : Survey evidence from OECD countries Socio-Economic Review. Oxford University Press. 2023, 21(1), pp. 593-615. ISSN 1475-1461. eISSN 1475-147X. Available under: doi: 10.1093/ser/mwac015

    Preferred policy responses to technological change : Survey evidence from OECD countries

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    How do the labor market risks associated with technological change affect policy preferences? We argue that higher perceptions of technology-related risks should increase support for compensation and decrease support for social investment. We expect the opposite effect for individuals who use technology constantly at work, have a university degree and earn higher incomes. However, as the perception of technology-related employment risks in the latter group of individuals increases, so does their preference for compensatory and protective policy solutions to technological change. Our expectations are confirmed by novel data from a survey of 24 diverse Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries that includes specifically designed questions on technology-related risks and policy preferences. The results suggest that technology-related risks not only correlate with certain demographic and occupational characteristics, but also cross-cut them. Thus, technology-related risks might not only become a source of new cleavages between the losers and winners of technological change, but also the basis for new cross-class coalitions.

  • Wagner, Patrick; Raess, Damian (2023): South to north investment linkages and decent work in Brazil Labour. Wiley. 2023, 37(1), pp. 122-159. ISSN 1121-7081. eISSN 1467-9914. Available under: doi: 10.1111/labr.12239

    South to north investment linkages and decent work in Brazil

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    Over the last 25 years, the BRICs asserted themselves as drivers of globalization. But what does their new-found prominence mean for working conditions at home? Using a novel sub-national database covering outward investment linkages and working conditions in Brazilian municipalities, this study tests whether a direct investment in Europe leads to the introduction of decent working conditions in Brazil. The empirical results provide strong support for the investing-up effect using a mixture of panel data analysis and text analysis. The results suggest that economic integration with high-standard developed countries can act as a powerful mechanism for labor standard improvements in developing countries.

  • Busemeyer, Marius R. (2023): Financing the welfare state in times of extreme crisis : public support for health care spending during the Covid-19 pandemic in Germany Journal of European Public Policy. Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group. 2023, 30(1), pp. 21-40. ISSN 1350-1763. eISSN 1466-4429. Available under: doi: 10.1080/13501763.2021.1977375

    Financing the welfare state in times of extreme crisis : public support for health care spending during the Covid-19 pandemic in Germany

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    Employing new and original survey data collected in three waves (April/May and November 2020 as well as May 2021) in Germany, this paper studies the dynamics of individual-level support for additional health care spending. A first major finding is that, so far, health care spending preferences have not radically changed during the Covid-19 pandemic, at least at the aggregate level. A more detailed analysis reveals, secondly, that individual-level support for additional spending on health care is strongly conditioned by performance perceptions and, to a lesser extent, general political trust. Citizens who regard the system as badly (well) prepared to cope with the crisis are more likely to support (oppose) additional spending. Higher levels of political trust are also positively associated with spending support, but to a lesser degree. The paper concludes by discussing the implications of these findings for policy-making and welfare state politics in the post-pandemic era.

  • Eingetrübte Aussichten : Das Konstanzer Ungleichheitsbarometer belegt die Wahrnehmung zunehmender Ungleichheit

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    Die Daten der neuen Erhebungswelle des Konstanzer Ungleichheitsbarometers zeigen, dass die Menschen in Deutschland eine weithin zunehmende Ungleichheit von Einkommen und Vermögen wahrnehmen – nicht zuletzt weil die Befragten kaum unterscheiden zwischen der Einkommensungleicheit und der in Realität noch größeren Vermögensungleichheit. Gleichzeitig wird das Ausmaß der Ungleichheit weiterhin in gewisser Hinsicht unterschätzt. Die Zukunftsaussichten


    für die jüngere Generation beurteilen viele eher negativ, vor allen Dingen die Anhängerschaft der AfD. Weniger pessimistisch sind Anhänger*innen von CDU/CSU und FDP.

  • Exzellenzcluster „The Politics of Inequality“ (Eds.) (2023): Information, Sprache, Macht

    Information, Sprache, Macht

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    dc.title:


    dc.contributor.editor: Exzellenzcluster „The Politics of Inequality“

  • Schemmerling, Moritz; Friehs, Maria-Therese; Kotzur, Patrick F.; Bastias, Franco; De Keersmaecker, Jonas; Macedo, Francisco G.; Neto, Felix; Neto, Joana; Pietraszkiewicz, Agnieszka; Boehnke, Klaus (2023): Comparing Social Perceptions of Culturally Emic Protagonists Using the Stereotype Content Model : A Scale Development and Adaption Process Across Four Languages and Eight Countries Psychological Test Adaptation and Development. Hogrefe. 2023, 4(1), S. 350-362. eISSN 2698-1866. Verfügbar unter: doi: 10.1027/2698-1866/a000067

    Comparing Social Perceptions of Culturally Emic Protagonists Using the Stereotype Content Model : A Scale Development and Adaption Process Across Four Languages and Eight Countries

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    Cross-cultural comparisons are often based on a single itemset that is used in several cultures and languages being translated semantically correct. In contrast, a new, emic, approach measures the same construct with individually created items for each culture and language. To test this emic approach, the current paper used the stereotype content model (SCM) with its dimensions, warmth, and competence. It is used to compare perceptions of people, residing in different countries, speaking different languages. The current paper reports a study (N = 2,901) that tests whether an adapted scale allows reliable and structurally valid measurement and comparisons of culturally emic protagonists on SCM dimensions across four languages (English, German, Portuguese, Spanish) in eight countries (United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Switzerland, Portugal, Brazil, Spain, Argentina). The warmth dimension emerges as largely universal, but the competence dimension is a more culture-specific construct. Cross-cultural comparisons as to the competence dimension should be treated with care.

  • Srismith, Duangkamol; Dierkes, Katja; Zipfel, Stephan; Thiel, Ansgar; Sudeck, Gorden; Giel, Katrin E.; Behrens, Simone C. (2023): Physical activity improves body image of sedentary adults : Exploring the roles of interoception and affective response Current Psychology. Springer. 2023, 42(30), pp. 26663-26671. ISSN 1046-1310. eISSN 1936-4733. Available under: doi: 10.1007/s12144-022-03641-7

    Physical activity improves body image of sedentary adults : Exploring the roles of interoception and affective response

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    To reduce the number of sedentary people, an improved understanding of effects of exercise in this specific group is needed. The present project investigates the impact of regular aerobic exercise uptake on body image, and how this effect is associated with differences in interoceptive abilities and affective response to exercise. Participants were 29 sedentary adults who underwent a 12-week aerobic physical activity intervention comprised of 30–36 sessions. Body image was improved with large effect sizes. Correlations were observed between affective response to physical activity and body image improvement, but not with interoceptive abilities. Explorative mediation models suggest a neglectable role of a priori interoceptive abilities. Instead, body image improvement was achieved when positive valence was assigned to interoceptive cues experienced during exercise.

  • Hanushek, Eric A.; Jacobs, Babs; Schwerdt, Guido; van der Velden, Rolf; Vermeulen, Stan; Wiederhold, Simon (2023): Where Do STEM Graduates Stem From? : The Intergenerational Transmission of Comparative Skill Advantages

    Where Do STEM Graduates Stem From? : The Intergenerational Transmission of Comparative Skill Advantages

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    The standard economic model of occupational choice following a basic Roy model emphasizes individual selection and comparative advantage, but the sources of comparative advantage are not well understood. We employ a unique combination of Dutch survey and registry data that links math and language skills across generations and permits analysis of the intergenerational transmission of comparative skill advantages. Exploiting within-family between-subject variation in skills, we show that comparative advantages in math of parents are significantly linked to those of their children. A causal interpretation follows from a novel IV estimation that isolates variation in parent skill advantages due to their teacher and classroom peer quality. Finally, we show the strong influence of family skill transmission on children’s choices of STEM fields.

  • Pomianowicz, Katja (2023): Educational achievement disparities between second-generation and non-immigrant students : Do school characteristics account for tracking effects? European Educational Research Journal. Sage. 2023, 22(3), pp. 297-324. ISSN 2382-1205. eISSN 1474-9041. Available under: doi: 10.1177/14749041211039929

    Educational achievement disparities between second-generation and non-immigrant students : Do school characteristics account for tracking effects?

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    The present article investigates the relationship between the degree of tracking and inequalities in reading literacy of second-generation and non-immigrant students in 28 Western countries. The article takes into account that next to between-school tracking, there are also more subtle forms of tracking, such as tracking within schools or classes. By elaborating how the distinct mechanisms of different tracking characteristics generate achievement inequalities, I assume that any negative effects of tracking on second-generation immigrant students’ achievements are primarily driven by differences in the quality of school environments. Data from the Programme for International Student Assessment 2018 are used and multilevel regression analysis with country-fixed effects are applied. The findings reveal that a higher tracking degree is related to substantial disadvantages in reading literacy for immigrant children. Furthermore, a higher immigrant concentration in schools is associated with immigrant inequalities in reading performance as the degree of tracking increases, whereas unequal distributions of teacher and instructional quality were found to generate inequalities in countries with less tracking. Even though the results are only partly in line with the theory of tracking influences on immigrant achievement disadvantages, they suggest that the interplay between institutional tracking and school characteristics are crucial for learning inequalities.

  • Bianchi, Federico; Piolatto, Matteo; Marengoni, Alessandra; Squazzoni, Flaminio (2023): Structure of personal networks and cognitive abilities : A study on a sample of Italian older adults Social Networks. Elsevier. 2023, 74, pp. 71-77. ISSN 0378-8733. eISSN 1879-2111. Available under: doi: 10.1016/j.socnet.2023.02.005

    Structure of personal networks and cognitive abilities : A study on a sample of Italian older adults

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    Research in social gerontology has suggested that structural complexity of personal networks could moderate cognitive decline of older adults. In line with the environmental complexity hypothesis, their cognitive functioning would benefit from a high number of cohesive subgroups in their own personal networks, i.e., various social foci, thanks to higher cognitive stimuli from various social interactions. Yet, past studies considered only compositional diversity of networks due to lack of data on alter–alter ties. To fill this gap, we collected survey ego-network data on frequent social contacts (including alter–alter ties) and cognitive functioning on a sample of individuals aged 75 in Brescia, Italy (N = 230). As a proxy for social foci, we detected cohesive subgroups within each respondent’s personal networks. Results showed a positive association between the number of cohesive subgroups and cognitive functioning, regardless of the network size, while controlling for relevant socio-demographic attributes and depression symptoms. Our findings testify to the importance of granular network data in studying the link between social relationships and cognitive functioning.

  • Die Studierendenbefragung in Deutschland : Fokusanalysen zur Attraktivität von Masterstudiengängen

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    Bisherigen Forschungsergebnissen zufolge hat Deutschland im internationalen Vergleich hohe direkte Übergangsquoten in ein Masterstudium (Neugebauer et al., 2016). Gleichzeitig blieben 2019/20 aber 16 % der Masterstudienplätze an Universitäten und 11 % an HAW unbesetzt (Fabian, 2021; KMK, 2020). Somit gibt es durchaus noch ungenutzte Kapazitäten für (Master-)Studierende im Hochschulsystem und es ist für die Öffentlichkeit, Politik und Wissenschaft gleichermaßen von hohem Interesse, welchen Entscheidungslogiken Studierende bei diesem Übergangsprozess folgen. In diesem DZHW Brief werden, nach einer Darstellung des bisherigen Forschungsstandes zum Übergang ins Masterstudium, Fokusanalysen berichtet, die auf der Grundlage von Ergebnissen der Befragung „Die Studierendenbefragung in Deutschland“ einige offene Fragen klären sollen.

  • Ethnic Organizations Online

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    Digital media form an integral part of political actors' communication strategies. They leverage personal websites, Facebook pages, Twitter profiles, and Instagram accounts to disseminate information, communicate policy positions, and mobilize followers. Through digital media, politicians, political parties, and nongovernmental organizations alike are able to reach potentially massive audiences as nearly half the world's population is now connected to the Internet. Compared to other, more traditional media, digital media enable cost-effective, direct, two-way communication with diverse audiences. For political organizations that claim to represent specific ethnic groups, these information channels open up new opportunities and means to achieve their goals. Investigating their activities in the digital space constitutes the topic of this dissertation.



    In the first paper (co-authored with Nils B. Weidmann), I present a new dataset for this purpose. It enables researchers to track the online activities of ethnic organizations. The Ethnic Organizations Online (EO2) database systematically captures Twitter, Facebook, and Instagram profiles as well as websites of political organizations with links to ethnic groups in 90 countries. I demonstrate the value of this dataset in three applications: First, I am able to show that separatist organizations are more likely to use Twitter than organizations without secessionist goals. Moreover, I find that organizations in autocracies invest fewer resources into their social media activity as elections approach. Finally, I compare organizations in power to those with opposition status: the former tend to communicate less about political phenomena and activities.



    In the second paper (co-authored with Lea Haiges), I examine the content of political communication online, in particular how elections and party competition influence the use of ethnic identity appeals. The basis for this work is provided by hand-coding more than 9000 Facebook and Twitter posts. Based on this data, I train machine learning models that automatically detect identity appeals in over 2~000~000 million social media posts. Analyzing this data with regression models, I find the following: The closer an election, the higher the likelihood that an ethnic party will appeal to ethnic identities. In addition, I show that when more ethnic parties participate in a particular election, this results in a higher number of ethnic identity appeals. Both results provide evidence on axiomatic assumptions of theories of ethnic politics.



    In the third paper, I turn to the effects of ethnic organizations' digital communication. I investigate whether individuals' who are exposed to references to ethnic identities online leads to increased identification with those very identities. To study this, I collect more than 200~000 Facebook comments authored in reply to 8000 Facebook posts of ethnic parties. I show that these parties face incentives to mention ethnic identities as this increases the reach of their posts. Their comment sections are more likely to feature comments with negative emotions, references to ethnic identities, and even toxic content. However, I find no evidence that these results extend to citizens' attitudes on the ground.



    In summary, this dissertation offers important insights into the digital, political communication of ethnic organizations. It shows that these actors use social media strategically to achieve their goals -- although adoption of platforms has not been universal. However, when ethnic organizations take to social media the electoral context plays an important role. Moreover, ethnic organizations' digital communications carry wide-ranging implications in the digital space, as it can lead to more toxic language and negative comments. Although their offline impact remains unclear, the data collected in this dissertation provides a valuable starting point for further research.

  • Kawerau, Lukas; Weidmann, Nils B.; Dainotti, Alberto (2023): Attack or Block? : Repertoires of Digital Censorship in Autocracies Journal of Information Technology & Politics. Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group. 2023, 20(1), S. 60-73. ISSN 1933-1681. eISSN 1933-169X. Verfügbar unter: doi: 10.1080/19331681.2022.2037118

    Attack or Block? : Repertoires of Digital Censorship in Autocracies

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    Online censorship has become a common feature in autocracies. Previous work has investigated different online censorship tactics such as website blocking or cyberattacks independently. In reality, however, autocratic governments rely on a repertoire of censorship techniques to control online communication, which they are likely to use depending on the respective political situation on the ground. In this article, we study the interplay of different online censorship techniques empirically. Focusing on new Internet measurement techniques and large existing datasets, we study the relationship between website blocking and cyberattacks (Denial-of-Service). Our results provide evidence that autocrats select tactics from their censorship repertoire depending on the current level of contention. During quiet times, we find some evidence that governments rely on different censorship tactics in parallel. In weeks with protest, however, website blocking is negatively associated with Denial-of-Service attacks against opposition websites. This shows that when the stakes are high, autocrats become more selective in their use of censorship.

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